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\u5148\u770b\u6570\u5b57\u30022024\u5e741\u67081\u65e5\u52302\u67088\u65e5\uff0c\u6caa\u6df1300\u53ea\u8dcc\u4e861.93%\uff0c\u4e2d\u8bc1500\u8dcc5.14%\uff0c\u4e2d\u8bc11000\u8dcc15.19%\uff0c\u4e2d\u8bc12000\u8dcc27.49%\uff0c\u4e07\u5f97\u5fae\u76d8\u80a1\u6307\u6570\u8dcc\u4e8640%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u540c\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u540c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u8d8a\u5c0f\u7684\u7968\u8dcc\u5f97\u8d8a\u72e0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
2024\u5e74\u521d\u90a3\u6bb5\u65e5\u5b50\uff0c\u8d8a\u5c0f\u7684\u76d8\u5b50\u8d8a\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u63a5<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\u91cf\u5316\u673a\u6784\u4e16\u7eaa\u524d\u6cbf\u5728\u7ed9\u6301\u6709\u4eba\u7684\u8bf4\u660e\u91cc\u5199\u8fc7\u4e00\u7ec4\u6570\u5b57\uff0c\u4e2d\u8bc12000\u4e0e\u6caa\u6df1300\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5dee\u8ddd\u591a\u6b21\u8d85\u8fc73\u4e2a\u6807\u51c6\u5dee\uff0c2\u67085\u65e5\u90a3\u4e00\u5929\u8fbe\u52307\u4e2a\u6807\u51c6\u5dee\u3002\u7528\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdb\u5165\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u884c\u60c5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6211\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8bfb\u8fd9\u6bb5\u8bf4\u660e\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u628a\u90a3\u7ec4\u6807\u51c6\u5dee\u6570\u5b57\u770b\u4e86\u597d\u51e0\u904d\u30023\u4e2a\u6807\u51c6\u5dee\u5df2\u7ecf\u662f\u6781\u7aef\uff0c7\u4e2a\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u628a\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u884c\u60c5\u538b\u8fdb\u4e00\u5929\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u8001\u624b\u4eec\u4e0d\u662f\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u5371\u9669\u3002\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u662f\u57282\u67085\u65e5\u30016\u65e5\u770b\u5230\u5de8\u91cf\u6210\u4ea4\uff0c\u5224\u65ad\u5e95\u90e8\u5230\u4e86\uff0c\u8fdb\u53bb\u4e86\u3002\u7136\u540e\u5fae\u76d8\u80a1\u53c8\u8dcc\u4e86\u4e24\u5929\u3002\u53ef\u8fd9\u627f\u63a52\u67088\u65e5\u624d\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u9732\u9762\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u961f\u5f00\u59cb\u4e70\u4e2d\u8bc12000ETF\uff0c\u5f53\u5929\u6307\u6570\u6da88.75%\uff0c\u63a5\u8fd1500\u53ea\u4e2a\u80a1\u6da8\u505c\uff0c\u5371\u673a\u89e3\u9664\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4ece2\u67085\u65e5\u52302\u67088\u65e5\uff0c\u4e2d\u95f4\u9694\u7740\u4e09\u5929\u3002\u8fd9\u4e09\u5929\u91cc\u6240\u6709\u7684\u653e\u91cf\uff0c\u90fd\u4e0d\u662f\u627f\u63a5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5f80\u524d\u7ffb\u4e00\u767e\u5e74\uff0c\u540c\u6837\u7684\u5267\u672c\u5229\u5f17\u83ab\u5c14\u6f14\u8fc7\u30021908\u5e74\u4ed6\u542c\u4fe1\u68c9\u82b1\u5927\u4f6c\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\u505a\u591a\u68c9\u82b1\uff0c\u6700\u521d\u53ea\u67096\u4e07\u5305\u7684\u5934\u5bf8\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u6258\u4f4f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0d\u65ad\u52a0\u7801\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u6eda\u523044\u4e07\u5305\uff0c300\u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u672c\u91d1\u4e8f\u6389270\u4e07\u3002\u8fd9\u4f4d\u5f53\u65f6\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u9876\u5c16\u7684\u6295\u673a\u8005\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u4e0d\u61c2\u76d8\u53e3\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u201c\u6211\u5df2\u7ecf\u6295\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e48\u591a\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0d\u80fd\u518d\u8dcc\u4e86\u201d\u7684\u6267\u5ff5\u91cc\uff0c\u628a\u52a0\u7801\u625b\u5355\u5f53\u6210\u4e86\u627f\u63a5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u540e\u6765\u6211\u624d\u60f3\u660e\u767d\uff0c\u90a3\u65f6\u5019\u4ed6\u773c\u91cc\u5df2\u7ecf\u6ca1\u6709\u76d8\u9762\u4e86\uff0c\u53ea\u5269\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u4ed3\u4f4d\u3002\u4ef7\u683c\u8dcc\u4e0b\u53bb\u4e4b\u540e\u6709\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u63a5\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u8bf4\u4e86\u7b97\uff0c\u4ed3\u4f4d\u8bf4\u4e86\u4e0d\u7b97\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u56db\u3001\u6211\u81ea\u5df1\u8dd1\u4e86\u4e00\u904d<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u7528\u817e\u8baf\u884c\u60c5\u63a5\u53e3\u62c9\u4e86217\u53eaA\u80a12021\u5e741\u6708\u52302026\u5e7410\u6708\u7684\u524d\u590d\u6743\u65e5\u7ebf\uff0c\u4e00\u5171136044\u6839K\u7ebf\u3002\u4ee3\u7801\u662f\u968f\u673a\u62bd\u7684\uff0c\u4e3b\u677f\u3001\u521b\u4e1a\u677f\u3001\u79d1\u521b\u677f\u90fd\u6709\u3002\u7136\u540e\u8bbe\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u7edf\u4e00\u7684\u5165\u573a\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u76d8\u4e2d\u4e00\u5ea6\u8dcc\u8d853%\uff0c\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\u4e0d\u4f4e\u4e8e\u524d5\u65e5\u5747\u91cf\u76841.5\u500d\u3002\u6ee1\u8db3\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u6837\u672c\u4e00\u51714174\u4e2a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd94174\u4e2a\u6837\u672c\uff0c\u6211\u6309\u6536\u76d8\u4f4d\u7f6e\u5206\u6210\u51e0\u7ec4\u3002\u5206\u5b8c\u6709\u70b9\u610f\u5916\u3002\u6211\u4e00\u5f00\u59cb\u4ee5\u4e3a\u771f\u627f\u63a5\u80fd\u5360\u4e09\u6210\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u4e00\u767e\u4e2a\u91cc\u4e0d\u52306\u4e2a\u3002\u771f\u627f\u63a5\u90a3\u7ec4\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u62c9\u56de\u5230\u524d\u6536\u8d1f0.5%\u4ee5\u5185\uff0c\u8fd8\u7559\u4e86\u6839\u660e\u663e\u7684\u957f\u4e0b\u5f71\u3002\u65e0\u627f\u63a5\u90a3\u7ec4\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ecd\u8dcc\u8d853%\uff0c\u6536\u5728\u5168\u65e5\u6700\u4f4e\u70b9\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c1657\u4e2a\u6837\u672c\u3002\u5269\u4e0b\u7684\u662f\u4e2d\u95f4\u5730\u5e26\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6536\u76ca\u7b97\u6cd5\u662f\u6309\u4fe1\u53f7\u65e5\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u865a\u62df\u8fdb\u573a\uff0c\u6301\u670920\u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u6309\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u7ed3\u7b97\uff0c\u8d85\u989d\u6536\u76ca\u7528\u540c\u671f\u5168\u90e8\u6837\u672c\u7684\u7b49\u6743\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u76ca\u505a\u57fa\u51c6\u3002\u811a\u672c\u653e\u5728\u6587\u672b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f20\u8868\u53ef\u4ee5\u81ea\u5df1\u8dd1\u4e00\u904d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
\u540c\u4e00\u6279\u6570\u636e\u91cc\uff0c\u56db\u79cd\u6536\u76d8\u4f4d\u7f6e\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u540e\u7eed\u8868\u73b0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\u7ec4\u522b<\/th>\u6837\u672c\u6570<\/th>5\u65e5\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u76ca<\/th>20\u65e5\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u76ca<\/th>20\u65e5\u5185\u8dcc\u7834\u5f53\u65e5\u6700\u4f4e<\/th><\/tr>
A \u771f\u627f\u63a5\uff0c\u7838\u6df1\u540e\u6536\u56de<\/td>211<\/td>+2.73%<\/td>+4.42%<\/td>63.0%<\/td><\/tr>
B \u65e0\u627f\u63a5\uff0c\u7838\u6df1\u6536\u5730\u677f<\/td>1657<\/td>+0.98%<\/td>+2.51%<\/td>89.3%<\/td><\/tr>
C \u8dcc\u6df1\u653e\u91cf\u5168\u90e8\u6837\u672c<\/td>4174<\/td>+0.40%<\/td>+1.59%<\/td>82.0%<\/td><\/tr>
D \u9ad8\u4f4d\u51b2\u9ad8\u56de\u843d\u653e\u91cf<\/td>535<\/td>-0.09%<\/td>+0.59%<\/td>95.3%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u5f20\u8868\u6700\u8981\u7d27\u7684\u662f\u6536\u76d8\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3002\u540c\u6837\u662f\u7838\u6df13%\u52a0\u653e\u91cf\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u80fd\u6536\u56de\u6765\u7684\u4e00\u7ec4\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e20\u65e5\u5185\u518d\u521b\u65b0\u4f4e\u7684\u6982\u738763.0%\uff0c\u6536\u5728\u5730\u677f\u4e0a\u7684\u4e00\u7ec489.3%\uff0c\u5dee\u4e8626\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u4fe1\u53f7\u65e5\u8fdb\u573a\uff0c\u540e\u9762\u4f1a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8fd8\u6709\u66f4\u4f4e\u7684\u4ef7\uff0c\u4fe1\u53f7\u65e5\u5728\u6536\u76d8\u90a3\u4e00\u79d2\u5c31\u5df2\u7ecf\u544a\u8bc9\u4f60\u4e00\u5927\u534a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u672c\u6587\u5b9e\u8bc1\u5206\u4e24\u6bb5\u811a\u672c\uff0c\u5747\u7528Python\u6807\u51c6\u5e93\u5b9e\u73b0\uff0c\u53ef\u590d\u8dd1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

repro_fetch.py\uff0c\u968f\u673a\u62bd500\u53eaA\u80a1\u4ee3\u7801\uff08seed=42\uff09\uff0c\u5e76\u53d1\u8bf7\u6c42\u817e\u8baf\u884c\u60c5fqkline\u63a5\u53e3\u62c92021-01-01\u81f32026-10-10\u524d\u590d\u6743\u65e5\u7ebf\uff0c\u5b58repro_data\/kline.csv\uff08\u5b9e\u9645\u6210\u529f217\u53ea\uff0c136044\u6839K\u7ebf\uff1b\u5176\u4f59\u4ee3\u7801\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u6216\u957f\u671f\u65e0\u6210\u4ea4\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

repro_analyze.py\uff0c\u8bfb\u5165kline.csv\uff0c\u6309\u4ee5\u4e0b\u53e3\u5f84\u5206\u7ec4\u7edf\u8ba1\u3002\u4fe1\u53f7\u6761\u4ef6\u4e3a\u76d8\u4e2d\u6700\u4f4e\u4ef7\u8f83\u524d\u6536\u8dcc\u8d853%\uff0c\u4e14\u5f53\u65e5\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\u4e0d\u4f4e\u4e8e\u524d5\u65e5\u5747\u91cf1.5\u500d\u3002A\u7ec4\u8981\u6c42\u6536\u76d8\u62c9\u56de\u81f3\u524d\u6536-0.5%\u4ee5\u5185\u4e14\u4e0b\u5f71\u7ebf\u5360\u5168\u65e5\u632f\u5e45\u4e00\u534a\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff1bB\u7ec4\u8981\u6c42\u6536\u76d8\u4ecd\u8dcc\u8d853%\u4e14\u6536\u5728\u5168\u65e5\u632f\u5e45\u6700\u4f4e20%\u533a\u57df\uff1bD\u7ec4\u8981\u6c42\u76d8\u4e2d\u51b2\u9ad83%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3001\u6536\u76d8\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u524d\u6536+0.5%\u4ee5\u5185\u3001\u4e0a\u5f71\u7ebf\u5360\u632f\u5e45\u4e00\u534a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4e14\u653e\u91cf\u3002\u6536\u76ca\u4ee5\u4fe1\u53f7\u65e5\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u865a\u62df\u8fdb\u573a\uff0c\u6301\u67091\/5\/10\/20\u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u6309\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u7ed3\u7b97\uff0c\u8d85\u989d\u6536\u76ca\u4e3a\u4e2a\u80a1\u6536\u76ca\u51cf\u540c\u671f\u5168\u90e8\u6837\u672c\u7b49\u6743\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u76ca\u3002\u8f93\u51farepro_results.json\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-\n# \u8d44\u91d1\u627f\u63a5\u5b9e\u8bc1\uff08\u7cbe\u7b80\u7248\uff0c\u5206\u7ec4\u7edf\u8ba1\u6838\u5fc3\u903b\u8f91\uff09\n# \u6570\u636e\uff1arepro_data\/kline.csv\uff0c\u5217code,date,open,close,high,low,vol\nimport csv, json, statistics, collections\n\nHOLD = [1, 5, 10, 20]\ndata = collections.defaultdict(list)\nwith open(\"repro_data\/kline.csv\", encoding=\"utf-8\") as f:\n    for row in csv.DictReader(f):\n        data[row[\"code\"]].append((row[\"date\"], float(row[\"open\"]), float(row[\"close\"]),\n                                  float(row[\"high\"]), float(row[\"low\"]), float(row[\"vol\"])))\nfor c in data:\n    data[c].sort(key=lambda r: r[0])\n\n# \u672a\u6765N\u65e5\u6536\u76ca\u4e0e\u540c\u671f\u6837\u672c\u6c60\u7b49\u6743\u57fa\u51c6\nfwd = {}\npool = collections.defaultdict(lambda: collections.defaultdict(list))\nfor code, rows in data.items():\n    n = len(rows)\n    for i in range(n):\n        fwd[(code, i)] = {}\n        for k in HOLD:\n            if i + k < n:\n                r = rows[i + k][2] \/ rows[i][2] - 1.0\n                fwd[(code, i)][k] = r\n                pool[rows[i][0]][k].append(r)\nbench = {d: {k: statistics.mean(v) for k, v in kv.items()} for d, kv in pool.items()}\n\ngroups = collections.defaultdict(list)\nfor code, rows in data.items():\n    n = len(rows)\n    for i in range(5, n - max(HOLD)):\n        d, o, c, h, l, v = rows[i]\n        pre = rows[i - 1][2]\n        rng = h - l\n        if pre <= 0 or rng <= 0:\n            continue\n        vol5 = statistics.mean(rows[i - k][5] for k in range(1, 6))\n        low_drop = l \/ pre - 1.0\n        vr = v \/ vol5 if vol5 > 0 else 0\n        rec = {\"code\": code, \"date\": d, \"new_low20\": any(rows[j][4] < l for j in range(i + 1, min(i + 21, n)))}\n        for k in HOLD:\n            rec[\"r%d\" % k] = fwd[(code, i)].get(k)\n            b = bench.get(d, {}).get(k)\n            rec[\"e%d\" % k] = rec[\"r%d\" % k] - b if (rec[\"r%d\" % k] is not None and b is not None) else None\n        if low_drop <= -0.03 and vr >= 1.5:\n            groups[\"C\"].append(rec)\n            if c >= pre * 0.995 and (min(o, c) - l) \/ rng >= 0.5:\n                groups[\"A\"].append(rec)\n            elif c <= pre * 0.97 and (c - l) \/ rng <= 0.2:\n                groups[\"B\"].append(rec)\n        if (h \/ pre - 1.0) >= 0.03 and c <= pre * 1.005 and vr >= 1.5 and (h - max(o, c)) \/ rng >= 0.5:\n            groups[\"D\"].append(rec)\n\nout = {}\nfor g in \"ABCD\":\n    rs = groups[g]\n    out[g] = {\n        \"\u6837\u672c\u6570\": len(rs),\n        \"5\u65e5\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u76ca%\": round(statistics.mean(r[\"r5\"] for r in rs) * 100, 2),\n        \"20\u65e5\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u76ca%\": round(statistics.mean(r[\"r20\"] for r in rs) * 100, 2),\n        \"20\u65e5\u8d85\u989d%\": round(statistics.mean(r[\"e20\"] for r in rs) * 100, 2),\n        \"20\u65e5\u5185\u8dcc\u7834\u5f53\u65e5\u6700\u4f4e%\": round(sum(r[\"new_low20\"] for r in rs) \/ len(rs) * 100, 1),\n    }\nprint(json.dumps(out, ensure_ascii=False, indent=2))<\/code><\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u4f5c \u8005\uff1a\u8001\u4f59\u635e\u9c7c \u539f\u521b\u4e0d\u6613\uff0c\u8f6c\u8f7d\u8bf7\u6807\u660e\u51fa\u5904\u53ca\u539f\u4f5c\u8005…<\/p>\n
Continue reading\u8dcc\u4e0b\u53bb\u80fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u62c9\u56de\u6765\uff1f\u6211\u75286\u5e74\u6570\u636e\u9a8c\u8bc1\u4e86\u8d44\u91d1\u627f\u63a5<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[17,4,5,6],"class_list":["post-5061","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-aiinvest","tag-ai","tag-6","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5061","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5061"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5061\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5070,"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5061\/revisions\/5070"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5061"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5061"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5061"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}