{"id":4496,"date":"2026-07-20T07:48:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-19T23:48:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/?p=4496"},"modified":"2026-07-10T19:48:36","modified_gmt":"2026-07-10T11:48:36","slug":"toto-2-0%e5%ae%9e%e6%b5%8b%ef%bc%9a%e4%bb%8e4m%e5%88%b02-5b%e5%8f%82%e6%95%b0%ef%bc%8c%e6%97%b6%e5%ba%8f%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%e9%a6%96%e6%ac%a1%e5%ae%9e%e7%8e%b0llm%e5%bc%8f%e7%bc%a9%e6%94%be","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/2026\/07\/20\/toto-2-0%e5%ae%9e%e6%b5%8b%ef%bc%9a%e4%bb%8e4m%e5%88%b02-5b%e5%8f%82%e6%95%b0%ef%bc%8c%e6%97%b6%e5%ba%8f%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%e9%a6%96%e6%ac%a1%e5%ae%9e%e7%8e%b0llm%e5%bc%8f%e7%bc%a9%e6%94%be\/","title":{"rendered":"Toto-2.0\u5b9e\u6d4b\uff1a\u4ece4M\u52302.5B\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u9996\u6b21\u5b9e\u73b0LLM\u5f0f\u7f29\u653e"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.laoyulaoyu.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u8001\u4f59\u635e\u9c7c<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-cyan-bluish-gray-color\">\u539f\u521b\u4e0d\u6613\uff0c\u8f6c\u8f7d\u8bf7\u6807\u660e\u51fa\u5904\u53ca\u539f\u4f5c\u8005\u3002<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cover-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4498\" srcset=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cover-1.jpg 900w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cover-1-300x128.jpg 300w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cover-1-768x327.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6587\u4e2d\u793a\u4f8b\u4ec5\u7528\u4e8e\u6280\u672f\u8ba8\u8bba\uff0c\u4e0d\u6784\u6210\u4efb\u4f55\u64cd\u4f5c\u5efa\u8bae\u3002<br>\u91cf\u5316\u7b56\u7565\u5f00\u53d1\u5e94\u4ee5\u5b66\u4e60\u548c\u6280\u672f\u4ea4\u6d41\u4e3a\u76ee\u7684\u3002<br>\u672c\u53f7\u4e0d\u8350\u80a1\u3001\u4e0d\u5356\u8bfe\u3001\u4e0d\u627f\u8bfa\u6536\u76ca\u3002<br>\u5e02\u573a\u6709\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u8bf7\u5408\u6cd5\u5408\u89c4\u6295\u8d44\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-paragraph\">\u672c\u6587\u7ea6 5200 \u5b57 | \u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb 10-15 \u5206\u949f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">\u00b7 \u00b7 \u00b7<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u505a\u91cf\u5316\u7684\u4eba\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\u4e00\u4e2a\u5c34\u5c2c\u7684\u4e8b\u5b9e\uff1a<strong>LLM\u4ece\u51e0\u4ebf\u53c2\u6570\u7f29\u653e\u5230\u51e0\u5343\u4ebf\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u6027\u80fd\u8e6d\u8e6d\u6da8\uff0c\u4f46\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u5462\uff1f\u653e\u5927\u53cd\u800c\u53ef\u80fd\u53d8\u5dee\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Datadog\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u521a\u53d1\u5e03\u7684Toto-2.0\uff0c\u7ec8\u4e8e\u628a\u8fd9\u4e8b\u513f\u7ed9\u89e3\u51b3\u4e86\u30025\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u4ece400\u4e07\u523025\u4ebf\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u540c\u4e00\u5957\u8bad\u7ec3\u914d\u65b9\uff0c<strong>\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u90fd\u6bd4\u66f4\u5c0f\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u5f97\u66f4\u51c6<\/strong>\u3002\u542c\u8d77\u6765\u7406\u6240\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5934\u4e00\u56de\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u4e00\u3001Toto-2.0\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Toto-2.0\u662fDatadog\u5f00\u53d1\u7684<strong>decoder-only\uff08\u4ec5\u89e3\u7801\u5668\uff09\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b<\/strong>\uff0c\u4e13\u95e8\u505a\u591a\u53d8\u91cf\u96f6\u6837\u672c\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u8bf4\u76f4\u767d\u70b9\uff1a\u7ed9\u5b83\u4e00\u6bb5\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e0d\u7528\u5fae\u8c03\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5148\u8bf4\u51e0\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u6807\u7b7e\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Decoder-only\u67b6\u6784\uff1a<\/strong>\u57fa\u4e8ePatched Transformer\uff0c\u4ea4\u66ff\u4f7f\u7528\u65f6\u95f4\u8f74\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u548c\u53d8\u91cf\u8f74\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u53d8\u957f\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6587\uff0c\u80fd\u63a5\u53d7\u672a\u6765\u5df2\u77e5\u7684\u534f\u53d8\u91cf\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>u-\u00b5P\u7f29\u653e\uff1a<\/strong>\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u57281000\u4e07\u53c2\u6570\u7684\u5c0f\u6a21\u578b\u4e0a\u8c03\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u8fc1\u79fb\u523025\u4ebf\u53c2\u6570\u7684\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4e0d\u7528\u6bcf\u4e2a\u89c4\u6a21\u91cd\u65b0\u8c03\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>CPM\u5355\u6b21\u63a8\u7406\uff1a<\/strong>\u8fde\u7eed\u8865\u4e01\u63a9\u7801\uff08Contiguous Patch Masking\uff09\u8ba9\u6a21\u578b\u4e00\u6b21\u524d\u5411\u4f20\u64ad\u5c31\u751f\u6210\u957f horizon \u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4e0d\u7528\u50cf\u4ee5\u524d\u90a3\u6837\u4e00\u6b65\u6b65\u81ea\u56de\u5f52\u89e3\u7801\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u6982\u7387\u9884\u6d4b\uff1a<\/strong>\u5206\u4f4d\u6570\u5934\uff08quantile head\uff09+ pinball loss\uff0c\u8f93\u51fa9\u4e2a\u5206\u4f4d\u6570\uff0c\u65e2\u6709\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u4e5f\u6709\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4f30\u8ba1\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5f00\u6e90\uff1a<\/strong>Apache 2.0\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u6743\u91cd\u5f00\u653e\uff0cGitHub\u4ed3\u5e93\u53ef\u76f4\u63a5\u7528\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728GIFT-Eval\u3001BOOM\u3001TIME\u4e09\u4e2a\u516c\u5f00\u57fa\u51c6\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4e0a\uff0cToto-2.0\u5168\u90e8\u62ff\u4e0b\u7b2c\u4e00\u540d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"454\" src=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/1-1024x454.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4499\" srcset=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/1-1024x454.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/1-300x133.jpg 300w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/1-768x340.jpg 768w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/1.jpg 1456w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">\u56fe1\uff1aToto-2\u67b6\u6784\u2014\u2014Patched Transformer\uff0c\u4ea4\u66ff\u65f6\u95f4\u8f74\/\u53d8\u91cf\u8f74\u6ce8\u610f\u529b<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u4e8c\u3001\u56db\u4e2a\u6838\u5fc3\u8bbe\u8ba1\u9009\u62e9<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Toto-2.0\u80fd\u5b9e\u73b0\u5e72\u51c0\u7f29\u653e\uff0c\u9760\u7684\u662f\u56db\u4e2a\u4e92\u76f8\u914d\u5408\u7684\u8bbe\u8ba1\u51b3\u7b56\u3002\u54b1\u4eec\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e2a\u770b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. Arcsinh\u5f52\u4e00\u5316\uff1a\u5c0f\u6ce2\u52a8\u548c\u6781\u7aef\u5c16\u5cf0\u90fd\u7167\u987e\u5230<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8bbe\u8ba1\u501f\u81eaChronos\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u4f20\u7edf\u5bf9\u6570\u5f52\u4e00\u5316\u6709\u4e2a\u6bdb\u75c5\uff1a\u63a5\u8fd1\u96f6\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u884c\u4e3a\u4e0d\u7ebf\u6027\uff0c\u4f1a\u628a\u5c0f\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\u5403\u6389\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7a00\u758f\u548c\u95f4\u6b47\u6027\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\uff08\u6bd4\u5982\u67d0\u4e9b\u4ea4\u6613\u9891\u7387\u4f4e\u7684\u54c1\u79cd\uff09\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u4fe1\u606f\u4e22\u5931\u5f88\u8981\u547d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Arcsinh\u5f52\u4e00\u5316\u4e0d\u4e00\u6837\uff1a<strong>\u63a5\u8fd1\u96f6\u65f6\u8868\u73b0\u4e3a\u7ebf\u6027<\/strong>\uff0c\u4fdd\u7559\u5c0f\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u7ec6\u8282\uff1b<strong>\u5927\u503c\u65f6\u8868\u73b0\u4e3a\u5bf9\u6570<\/strong>\uff0c\u538b\u7f29\u6781\u7aef\u5c16\u5cf0\u3002\u4e24\u8005\u517c\u987e\uff0c\u6070\u597d\u662f\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u9700\u8981\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u6a2a\u8de8\u591a\u4e2a\u6570\u91cf\u7ea7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"970\" height=\"672\" src=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/2-3.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4500\" srcset=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/2-3.png 970w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/2-3-300x208.png 300w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/2-3-768x532.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 970px) 100vw, 970px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">\u56fe2\uff1aArcsinh\u5f52\u4e00\u5316 vs \u5bf9\u6570\u5f52\u4e00\u5316\uff0c\u63a5\u8fd1\u96f6\u65f6Arcsinh\u4fdd\u6301\u7ebf\u6027<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. \u5206\u4f4d\u6570\u8f93\u51fa\u5934\uff1a\u66ff\u6362\u6389\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684SMM<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Toto-1.0\u7528\u7684\u662fStudent-T\u6df7\u5408\u6a21\u578b\uff08SMM\uff09\u505a\u6982\u7387\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5728\u5c0f\u89c4\u6a21\u65f6\u8fd8\u884c\uff0c\u4f46\u6a21\u578b\u53d8\u5927\u540eSMM\u6570\u503c\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u63a5\u8fd1\u96f6\u65f6\u4f1a\u53d1\u6563\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Toto-2.0\u6362\u6210\u7b80\u5355\u7684<strong>\u5206\u4f4d\u6570\u5934<\/strong>\uff1a\u6bcf\u4e2a\u672a\u6765\u65f6\u95f4\u6b65\u9884\u6d4b9\u4e2a\u5206\u4f4d\u6570\u6c34\u5e73{0.1, 0.2, &#8230;, 0.9}\uff0c\u7528pinball loss\u8bad\u7ec3\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u73b0\u5728\u5df2\u7ecf\u662f\u4e3b\u6d41\uff0cChronos-2\u3001Moirai-2\u3001TimesFM 2.5\u90fd\u7528\u8fd9\u5957\u3002\u4e3a\u9632\u6b62\u5206\u4f4d\u6570\u4ea4\u53c9\uff08quantile crossing\uff09\uff0c\u63a8\u7406\u65f6\u5bf9\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u6392\u5e8f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u70b9\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0d\u518d\u5355\u72ec\u751f\u6210\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u53d6\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6570\uff08\u7b2c5\u4e2a\u5206\u4f4d\u6570\uff09\u4f5c\u4e3a\u70b9\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. CPM\uff1a\u4e00\u6b21\u524d\u5411\u4f20\u64ad\u641e\u5b9a1024\u6b65\u9884\u6d4b<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u662f\u6700\u8ba9\u6211\u5174\u594b\u7684\u8bbe\u8ba1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Toto-1.0\u751f\u6210\u9884\u6d4b\u662f\u81ea\u56de\u5f52\u7684\uff0c\u4e00\u6b21\u751f\u6210\u4e00\u4e2apatch\u30021024\u6b65\u7684\u9884\u6d4bhorizon\u9700\u8981\u6700\u591a16\u6b21\u4e32\u884c\u524d\u5411\u4f20\u64ad\uff0c\u8bef\u5dee\u8fd8\u4f1a\u9010\u6b65\u7d2f\u79ef\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CPM\uff08\u8fde\u7eed\u8865\u4e01\u63a9\u7801\uff09\u4eceTiRex\u6a21\u578b\u501f\u9274\u800c\u6765\uff0c\u6539\u6389\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u505a\u6cd5\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"629\" src=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/3-1024x629.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4501\" srcset=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/3-1024x629.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/3-300x184.jpg 300w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/3-768x472.jpg 768w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/3.jpg 1136w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">\u56fe3\uff1aCPM\u8fde\u7eed\u8865\u4e01\u63a9\u7801\u7b56\u7565\u2014\u2014\u6bcf\u4e2a\u65b9\u5757\u4ee3\u8868\u4e00\u4e2apatch<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8bad\u7ec3\u65f6\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e00\u6b21\u6027\u9884\u6d4b\u591a\u4e2a\u672a\u6765patch\uff0c\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u63a9\u7801\u53d8\u957f\u7684\u8fde\u7eed\u8f93\u5165\u533a\u95f4\u3002\u63a8\u7406\u65f6\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u9884\u6d4bhorizon\u5168\u90e8\u586b\u5165mask token\uff0c<strong>\u4e00\u6b21\u524d\u5411\u4f20\u64ad\u5c31\u89e3\u7801\u5b8c\u6210<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5b9e\u6d4b\u6548\u679c\uff1a\u5355\u6b21\u89e3\u7801\u5728\u5408\u6210\u591a\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4fe1\u53f7\u4e0a\u7a33\u5b9a\u5230\u7ea6768\u6b65horizon\u3002\u66f4\u957f\u7684horizon\u652f\u6301block decoding\uff0c\u5206\u6bb5\u751f\u6210\u540c\u65f6\u590d\u7528KV cache\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u5b9e\u64cd\u8981\u70b9<\/strong>\uff1aCPM\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u53c2\u6570 c_max \u548c p_max\u3002Toto-2.0\u6700\u7ec8\u914d\u7f6e\u662f c_max=16\u3001p_max=0.4\u3002\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u53c2\u6570\u76f4\u63a5\u63a7\u5236\u8bad\u7ec3\u65f6\u63a9\u7801\u7684\u957f\u5ea6\u5206\u5e03\u548c\u9891\u7387\uff0c\u5bf9\u63a8\u7406\u8d28\u91cf\u5f71\u54cd\u5f88\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. NorMuon\u4f18\u5316\u5668\uff1apinball loss\u7684&#8221;\u6551\u661f&#8221;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u90e8\u5206\u6280\u672f\u542b\u91cf\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e5f\u662fToto-2.0\u80fd\u7f29\u653e\u7684\u5173\u952e\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5148\u8bf4\u95ee\u9898\u80cc\u666f\u3002\u5927\u591a\u6570\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u7528MSE\uff08\u5747\u65b9\u8bef\u5dee\uff09\u8bad\u7ec3\uff0cMSE\u7684\u68af\u5ea6\u548c\u8bef\u5dee\u5927\u5c0f\u6210\u6b63\u6bd4\uff0c\u4f18\u5316\u5668\u6e05\u695a\u77e5\u9053\u8be5\u8d70\u591a\u5927\u6b65\u3002\u4f46Toto-2.0\u7528\u7684\u662fpinball loss\uff08\u5206\u4f4d\u6570\u635f\u5931\uff09\uff0c\u5b83\u7684\u68af\u5ea6\u53ea\u6709\u4e09\u4e2a\u503c\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u9884\u6d4b\u504f\u4f4e\u65f6\uff1a\u68af\u5ea6 = \u2212\u03c4<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u9884\u6d4b\u504f\u9ad8\u65f6\uff1a\u68af\u5ea6 = 1\u2212\u03c4<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u65f6\uff1a\u68af\u5ea6 = 0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u68af\u5ea6\u53ea\u544a\u8bc9\u4f60\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u4e0d\u544a\u8bc9\u4f60\u5e45\u5ea6\u3002<\/strong>\u504f1\u4e2a\u5355\u4f4d\u548c\u504f1000\u4e2a\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u68af\u5ea6\u5927\u5c0f\u4e00\u6a21\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u628a\u8fd9\u53eb&#8221;sign-valued gradients&#8221;\uff08\u7b26\u53f7\u68af\u5ea6\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u76f4\u63a5\u641e\u5d29\u4e86AdamW\u3002Adam\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u673a\u5236\u662f\u8ddf\u8e2a\u6bcf\u4e2a\u53c2\u6570\u68af\u5ea6\u7684\u65b9\u5dee\u6765\u8c03\u6574\u5b66\u4e60\u7387\u3002\u5f53\u68af\u5ea6\u6c38\u8fdc\u662f\u5e38\u6570\u65f6\uff0cAdam\u7684\u65b9\u5dee\u8ffd\u8e2a\u5668\u53d8\u6210\u4e00\u6761\u76f4\u7ebf\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e3a\u68af\u5ea6\u5f88\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u5c31\u4e0d\u518d\u6709\u610f\u4e49\u5730\u8c03\u6574\u5b66\u4e60\u6b65\u4f10\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8bf4\u767d\u4e86\uff0cAdam\u77e5\u9053\u5f80\u54ea\u4e2a\u65b9\u5411\u8d70\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u8be5\u8d70\u591a\u8fdc\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NorMuon\u7684\u89e3\u6cd5\u662f\u6362\u4e00\u4e2a\u89c2\u5bdf\u7c92\u5ea6\u3002Adam\u770b\u7684\u662f\u5355\u4e2a\u6743\u91cd\uff0cNorMuon\u770b\u7684\u662f<strong>\u6574\u4e2a\u795e\u7ecf\u5143\uff08\u6743\u91cd\u77e9\u9635\u7684\u4e00\u6574\u884c\uff09<\/strong>\u3002\u867d\u7136\u5355\u4e2a\u68af\u5ea6\u662f\u5e38\u6570\uff0c\u4f46\u4e00\u6574\u884c\u68af\u5ea6\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u6a21\u5f0f\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e2a\u795e\u7ecf\u5143\u6709\u591a\u6d3b\u8dc3\u3001\u591a\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u7528\u6574\u884c\u7684\u65b9\u5dee\u6765\u5f52\u4e00\u5316\u6b65\u957f\uff0c\u52a8\u6001\u8303\u56f4\u5c31\u56de\u6765\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u4e09\u3001u-\u00b5P\uff1a\u8c03\u4e00\u6b21\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u4e94\u4e2a\u89c4\u6a21\u901a\u7528<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u662fToto-2.0\u7f29\u653e\u80fd\u529b\u7684&#8221;\u79d8\u5bc6\u6b66\u5668&#8221;\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u80cc\u666f\uff1a\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u7f29\u653e\u7684\u8001\u5927\u96be<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8bad\u7ec3\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\u6709\u4e00\u5806\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u8981\u8c03\uff1a\u5b66\u4e60\u7387\u3001\u6743\u91cd\u8870\u51cf\u3001\u52a8\u91cf\u7b49\u7b49\u3002\u5e38\u89c4\u505a\u6cd5\u662f\u7f51\u683c\u641c\u7d22\u6216\u968f\u673a\u641c\u7d22\uff0c\u627e\u51fa\u9a8c\u8bc1\u96c6\u4e0a\u8868\u73b0\u6700\u597d\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u4e8e\uff1a<strong>\u6a21\u578b\u5927\u5c0f\u53d8\u4e86\uff0c\u6700\u4f18\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u4e5f\u53d8\u4e86\u3002<\/strong>\u5c0f\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6700\u4f18\u5b66\u4e60\u7387\u548c\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u80fd\u5dee\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u91cf\u7ea7\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8981\u8bad\u7ec35\u4e2a\u4e0d\u540c\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5c31\u5f97\u505a5\u6b21\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u641c\u7d22\uff0c\u6bcf\u6b21\u641c\u7d22\u90fd\u8981\u8bad\u7ec3\u597d\u51e0\u5929\uff0c\u7b97\u529b\u6d6a\u8d39\u60ca\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00b5P\uff1a\u8ba9\u5b66\u4e60\u52a8\u6001\u4e0e\u6a21\u578b\u5bbd\u5ea6\u65e0\u5173<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00b5P\uff08Maximal Update Parametrization\uff09\u901a\u8fc7\u6570\u5b66\u91cd\u65b0\u53c2\u6570\u5316\u6743\u91cd\uff0c\u8ba9\u5b66\u4e60\u52a8\u6001\u4e0d\u518d\u4f9d\u8d56\u6a21\u578b\u5bbd\u5ea6\u3002\u5c0f\u6a21\u578b\u4e0a\u8c03\u597d\u7684\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u7528\u5230\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u4e0a\u4e5f\u5408\u9002\u3002u-\u00b5P\u662f\u00b5P\u7684&#8221;unit-scaled&#8221;\u53d8\u4f53\uff0c\u66f4\u9002\u5408decoder-only\u67b6\u6784\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"485\" src=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/4-1-1024x485.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4502\" srcset=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/4-1-1024x485.png 1024w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/4-1-300x142.png 300w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/4-1-768x364.png 768w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/4-1.png 1400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">\u56fe4\uff1au-\u00b5P\u4f7f\u6700\u4f18\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u4e0e\u6a21\u578b\u5bbd\u5ea6\u65e0\u5173<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u5173\u952e\u70b9<\/strong>\uff1au-\u00b5P\u4e0d\u662f\u8fc1\u79fb\u6743\u91cd\uff0c\u662f\u8fc1\u79fb\u914d\u7f6e\u3002\u5b66\u4e60\u7387\u3001\u6743\u91cd\u8870\u51cf\u3001\u52a8\u91cf\u3001\u8870\u51cf\u8c03\u5ea6\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u5728\u5c0f\u6a21\u578b\u4e0a\u8c03\u597d\u540e\uff0c\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u76f4\u63a5\u7528\u3002\u4f46\u6bcf\u4e2a\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u5bbd\u5ea6\u3001\u6df1\u5ea6\u3001\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u5934\u6570\u662f\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u4ece\u5934\u8bad\u7ec3\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u56db\u8f6e\u641c\u7d22\u6d41\u7a0b<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u641c\u7d22\u7a7a\u95f4\u670917\u4e2a\u8fde\u7eed\u7ef4\u5ea6\u52a0\u4e0a\u82e5\u5e72\u5206\u7c7b\u7ef4\u5ea6\uff0c\u7a77\u4e3e\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u628a\u5b83\u62c6\u62104\u8f6e\u4e32\u884c\u641c\u7d22\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"454\" src=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/5-1024x454.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4503\" srcset=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/5-1024x454.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/5-300x133.jpg 300w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/5-768x341.jpg 768w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/5.jpg 1400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">\u56fe5\uff1aToto-2.0\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u914d\u6bd4\u2014\u201442.5% Datadog\u89c2\u6d4b\u6570\u636e + 57.5% \u5408\u6210\u6570\u636e<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u8f6e\u6b21<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u641c\u7d22\u5185\u5bb9<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u8bf4\u660e<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Round 1<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u67b6\u6784<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u5f52\u4e00\u5316\u65b9\u5f0f\u3001\u53d8\u91cf\u8f74\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3001\u504f\u7f6e\u9879\u3001CPM\u53c2\u6570<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Round 2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u6570\u636e\u914d\u6bd4<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Datadog\u5185\u90e8\u6570\u636e \/ \u5408\u6210\u6570\u636e \/ \u516c\u5f00\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Round 3<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u4f18\u5316\u5668<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u5b66\u4e60\u7387\u3001\u6743\u91cd\u8870\u51cf\u3001\u52a8\u91cf\u9879\u3001warmup\u6b65\u6570\u3001\u68af\u5ea6\u88c1\u526a<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Round 4<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u8870\u51cf\u8c03\u5ea6<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u8870\u51cf\u957f\u5ea6\u3001\u8870\u51cf\u5f62\u72b6\uff08\u7ebf\u6027 vs 1-sqrt\uff09<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6bcf\u8f6e\u51bb\u7ed3\u524d\u4e00\u8f6e\u7684\u6700\u4f18\u914d\u7f6e\uff0c\u53ea\u641c\u65b0\u7ef4\u5ea6\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u987a\u5e8f\u6709\u4f9d\u8d56\u5173\u7cfb\uff1a\u67b6\u6784\u548c\u6570\u636e\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e86\u635f\u5931\u5730\u5f62\uff0c\u4f18\u5316\u5668\u8981\u9002\u5e94\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5730\u5f62\uff0c\u8870\u51cf\u8c03\u5ea6\u8981\u57fa\u4e8e\u4f18\u5316\u5668\u7684\u7a33\u6001\u884c\u4e3a\u6765\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6700\u7ec8\u914d\u7f6e<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ee3\u7406\u6a21\u578b\u662f1000\u4e07\u53c2\u6570\uff08L=12, d_model=256, h=4\uff09\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u641c\u7d22\u8bd5\u9a8c\u8bad\u7ec330000\u6b65\uff0c\u51e0\u5c0f\u65f6\u5c31\u80fd\u5b8c\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u8bd5\u9a8c\u3002\u6700\u7ec8\u627e\u5230\u7684\u6700\u4f18\u914d\u7f6e\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u67b6\u6784\uff1a<\/strong>PerDimScale\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\uff0c\u53d8\u91cf\u8f74\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u653e\u5728\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u5c42\uff0cCPM\u53c2\u6570 c_max=16\u3001p_max=0.4<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u6570\u636e\u914d\u6bd4\uff1a<\/strong>42.5% Datadog\u89c2\u6d4b\u6570\u636e + 57.5% \u5408\u6210\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u516c\u5f00\u6570\u636e\u5b8c\u5168\u6392\u9664<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u4f18\u5316\u5668\uff1a<\/strong>NorMuon \u03b7=0.65\uff0cAdamW \u03b7=0.012\uff08\u7528\u4e8e\u8f93\u5165\/\u8f93\u51fa\u6295\u5f71\uff09\uff0c\u90fd\u5e26\u6743\u91cd\u8870\u51cf<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u8c03\u5ea6\uff1a<\/strong>\u7ebf\u6027\u8870\u51cf\uff0c10500\u6b65<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u5957\u914d\u7f6e\u76f4\u63a5\u5957\u7528\u5230\u5168\u90e85\u4e2a\u89c4\u6a21\u4e0a\u3002\u6bcf\u4e2a\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u53c2\u6570\u89c1\u4e0b\u8868\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"784\" height=\"272\" src=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/b1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4504\" srcset=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/b1.png 784w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/b1-300x104.png 300w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/b1-768x266.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 784px) 100vw, 784px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">\u8868\uff1aToto-2.0\u6a21\u578b\u5bb6\u65cf\u53c2\u6570\u914d\u7f6e\uff0cdhead\u56fa\u5b9a\u4e3a64<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u6ce8\u610f<\/strong>\uff1ad_head \u5728\u6240\u6709\u89c4\u6a21\u4e2d\u56fa\u5b9a\u4e3a64\u30024M\u548c22M\u6a21\u578b\u8bad\u7ec340\u4e07\u6b65\u6536\u655b\uff0c\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u8bad\u7ec360\u4e07\u6b65\u4ecd\u5728\u63d0\u5347\u3002\u6240\u6709\u6a21\u578b\u75284096\u6b65\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6587\u3001patch size=32\u3001\u6bcf\u6837\u672c32\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u3001\u5168\u5c40batch size=64\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u56db\u3001\u8bc4\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\uff1a\u5168\u9762\u9738\u699c<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><br>\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u6709\u4e2a&#8221;\u53cd\u5e38\u8bc6&#8221;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5927\u591a\u6570\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\u4f1a\u5728\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u4e2d\u52a0\u5165\u516c\u5f00\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u3002Toto-2.0\u6ca1\u6709\u3002<strong>\u5b83\u76845.04\u4e07\u4ebf\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u70b9\u5168\u90e8\u6765\u81eaDatadog\u5185\u90e8\u89c2\u6d4b\u6307\u6807<\/strong>\uff08CPU\u5229\u7528\u7387\u3001\u5185\u5b58\u3001\u8bf7\u6c42\u5ef6\u8fdf\u3001\u9519\u8bef\u7387\uff09\u548cTempoPFN\u6846\u67b6\u751f\u6210\u7684\u5408\u6210\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u516c\u5f00\u6570\u636e\u53ea\u5728\u5fae\u8c03\u9636\u6bb5\u5f15\u5165\uff0c\u53602.5B-FT\u53d8\u4f53\u768445%\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740Toto-2.0\u57fa\u5ea7\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u516c\u5f00\u8bc4\u6d4b\u96c6\u4e0a\u4ece\u672a\u89c1\u8fc7\u76f8\u5173\u9886\u57df\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6210\u7ee9\u66f4\u5177\u8bf4\u670d\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">GIFT-Eval\uff1a97\u4e2a\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c23\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u96c6<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">GIFT-Eval\u8986\u76d6\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u96f6\u552e\u3001\u5929\u6c14\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u7b49\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u662f\u76ee\u524d\u6700\u5168\u9762\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u8bc4\u6d4b\u57fa\u51c6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"609\" src=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/6-1024x609.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4505\" srcset=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/6-1024x609.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/6-300x179.jpg 300w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/6-768x457.jpg 768w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/6.jpg 1400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">\u56fe6\uff1aGIFT-Eval\u7ed3\u679c\u2014\u2014CRPS rank\u3001MASE rank\u3001CRPS\u3001MASE<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>313M\u30011B\u30012.5B\u5305\u63fd\u524d\u4e09\uff0cCRPS rank\u5206\u522b\u662f20.3\u300121.1\u300121.4<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>313M\u5230\u7b2c\u4e8c\u540dPatchTST-FM r1\uff0823.1\uff09\u4e4b\u95f4\u67091.7\u5206\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Chronos-2\u6392\u572823.5<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>22M\uff0826.8\uff09\u6bd4Toto-1\uff0835.1\uff09\u597d\u4e86\u8d85\u8fc78\u5206<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u6bcf\u4e2a\u89c4\u6a21\u90fd\u6bd4\u66f4\u5c0f\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u597d\uff0c\u7f29\u653e\u66f2\u7ebf\u5e72\u51c0<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u6ce8\u610f<\/strong>\uff1a\u4ee3\u7406\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u662f\u57fa\u4e8eGIFT-Eval\u9a8c\u8bc1\u96c6\u4f18\u5316\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6cc4\u9732\uff08\u6a21\u578b\u8bad\u7ec3\u65f6\u6ca1\u89c1\u8fc7GIFT-Eval\u6570\u636e\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u9009\u62e9\u53d7GIFT-Eval\u8868\u73b0\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5bf9\u6bd4\u6ca1\u6709\u5728GIFT-Eval\u4e0a\u8c03\u53c2\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u65f6\u9700\u8981\u7559\u5fc3\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u653e\u5f00\u5fae\u8c03\u548c\u96c6\u6210\u53d8\u4f53\u540e\uff0cToto-2.0\u4f9d\u7136\u5360\u636e\u524d\u4e24\u540d\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"591\" src=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/7-1024x591.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4506\" srcset=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/7-1024x591.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/7-300x173.jpg 300w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/7-768x443.jpg 768w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/7.jpg 1400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">\u56fe7\uff1aGIFT-Eval\u6392\u884c\u699c\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\u3001\u5fae\u8c03\u6a21\u578b\u3001\u96c6\u6210\u3001Agent\u7cfb\u7edf\u5168\u90e8\u5728\u4e00\u8d77<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Toto 2.0 FnF\uff1a<\/strong>\u7528XGBoost\u505ameta-learner\uff0c\u96c6\u621010\u4e2a\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\uff085\u4e2aToto-2\u89c4\u6a21 + Chronos-2\u3001TimesFM 2.5\u3001TiRex\u3001FlowState\u3001PatchTST-FM r1\uff09\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u6307\u6807\u7b2c\u4e00\u540d<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Toto 2.0 2.5B-FT\uff1a<\/strong>2.5B\u57fa\u5ea7\u6a21\u578b\u5fae\u8c03\uff0crank\u6307\u6807\u7b2c\u4e8c\u540d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6700\u6709\u610f\u601d\u7684\u53d1\u73b0\u662f\u96c6\u6210\u5185\u90e8\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1aFnF\u7684meta-learner\u81ea\u7531\u5206\u914d\u6743\u91cd\u65f6\uff0c<strong>Toto-2.0\u5bb6\u65cf\u5e73\u5747\u62ff\u5230\u4e8639%\u7684\u6743\u91cd<\/strong>\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4efb\u4f55\u5176\u4ed6\u5355\u4e00\u6a21\u578b\u6e90\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">BOOM\uff1a\u89c2\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u7684\u4e3b\u573a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">BOOM\u8bc4\u6d4b\u7684\u662f\u89c2\u6d4b\u6307\u6807\u9884\u6d4b\uff1aCPU\u5229\u7528\u7387\u3001\u5185\u5b58\u4f7f\u7528\u3001\u8bf7\u6c42\u5ef6\u8fdf\u3001\u9519\u8bef\u7387\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3aDatadog\u81ea\u5bb6\u7684\u57fa\u51c6\uff0cToto-2.0\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u8868\u73b0\u5f3a\u52bf\u5728\u610f\u6599\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"271\" src=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/8-1024x271.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4507\" srcset=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/8-1024x271.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/8-300x79.jpg 300w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/8-768x203.jpg 768w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/8.jpg 1400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">\u56fe8\uff1aBOOM\u7ed3\u679c\u2014\u2014CRPS rank\u3001CRPS\u3001MASE\uff0c\u6240\u6709Toto-2.0\u89c4\u6a21\u5747\u8d85\u8d8a\u5176\u4ed6\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u6240\u67095\u4e2aToto-2.0\u89c4\u6a21\u90fd\u4f4d\u4e8ePareto\u524d\u6cbf\uff0c\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u53c2\u6570\u91cf\u7ea7\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\u66f4\u597d<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u4e09\u4e2a\u6700\u5927\u89c4\u6a21CRPS rank\uff1a3.88\uff082.5B\uff09\u30013.96\uff081B\uff09\u30014.26\uff08313M\uff09<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>22M\uff085.53\uff09\u6bd4Toto-1\uff086.94\uff09\u53c2\u6570\u5c11\u7ea67\u500d\u4f46\u6027\u80fd\u66f4\u597d<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>4M\uff087.17\uff09\u548cChronos-2\uff087.39\uff09\u6709\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u53c2\u6570\u53ea\u6709\u540e\u8005\u76841\/38\uff0c<strong>\u9002\u5408\u8fb9\u7f18\u90e8\u7f72<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"415\" src=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/9-1024x415.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4508\" srcset=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/9-1024x415.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/9-300x122.jpg 300w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/9-768x311.jpg 768w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/9.jpg 1400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">\u56fe9\uff1aCRPS rank vs \u53c2\u6570\u91cf\u2014\u2014Toto-2.0\u6240\u6709\u89c4\u6a21\u90fd\u5728Pareto\u524d\u6cbf\u4e0a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u4e94\u3001\u63a8\u7406\u901f\u5ea6\u548c\u957fhorizon\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CPM\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u63d0\u5347\u9884\u6d4b\u8d28\u91cf\uff0c\u8fd8\u8ba9\u63a8\u7406\u5feb\u5f97\u79bb\u8c31\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">1024\u6b65\u9884\u6d4b\uff0cToto-1.0\u9700\u8981\u6700\u591a16\u6b21\u81ea\u56de\u5f52\u6b65\u9aa4\uff0cToto-2.0\u4e00\u6b21\u524d\u5411\u4f20\u64ad\u641e\u5b9a\u3002313M\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u5ef6\u8fdf\u548cChronos-2\uff08120M\u53c2\u6570\uff09\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u53c2\u6570\u91cf\u662f\u540e\u8005\u7684\u4e24\u500d\u591a\u3002\u57284096\u6b65horizon\u4e0b\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f2.5B\u5355\u6b21\u63a8\u7406\u4e5f\u6bd4Chronos-2\u5feb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u957fhorizon\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7528\u4e86\u5408\u6210\u591a\u5c3a\u5ea6\u6b63\u5f26\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u6d4b\u8bd52048\u30014096\u30018192\u6b65horizon\uff08\u8bad\u7ec3\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6587\u662f4096\u6b65\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"380\" src=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/10-1024x380.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4509\" srcset=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/10-1024x380.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/10-300x111.jpg 300w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/10-768x285.jpg 768w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/10.jpg 1400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">\u56fe10\uff1a\u524d\u5411\u4f20\u64ad\u5ef6\u8fdf vs horizon\u2014\u2014Toto-2.0\u5355\u6b21\u63a8\u7406\u6bd4Chronos-2\u66f4\u5feb<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"660\" src=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11-1024x660.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4510\" srcset=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11-1024x660.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11-300x194.jpg 300w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11-768x495.jpg 768w, https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/11.jpg 1400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">\u56fe11\uff1a\u5408\u6210\u591a\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4fe1\u53f7\u57282048\/4096\/8192\u6b65horizon\u4e0a\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u8868\u73b0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u6a21\u578b\u89c4\u6a21<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">2048\u6b65<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">4096\u6b65<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">8192\u6b65<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">4M<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u80fd\u6293\u77ed\u671f\u6a21\u5f0f<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u8d85\u51fa\u8bad\u7ec3\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6587\u540e\u5d29\u6e83<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u5d29\u6e83<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">22M<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u7ef4\u6301\u66f4\u4e45<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u5f00\u59cb\u9000\u5316<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u4e25\u91cd\u9000\u5316<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">313M<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u7a33\u5b9a<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u7a33\u5b9a<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u5931\u53bb\u7ed3\u6784<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">1B<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u7a33\u5b9a<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u7a33\u5b9a<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u4ecd\u7ef4\u6301\u57fa\u672c\u6a21\u5f0f<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">2.5B<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u6700\u51c6\u786e<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u6700\u51c6\u786e<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u6700\u51c6\u786e<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Toto-1\u548cChronos-2\u57281B\u6a21\u578b\u4e4b\u524d\u5c31\u5931\u53bb coherence \u4e86\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1Chronos-2\u8bad\u7ec3\u65f6\u7528\u4e86\u66f4\u957f\u7684\u5e8f\u5217\u3002<strong>\u89c4\u6a21\u786e\u5b9e\u5bf9\u957fhorizon coherence \u6709\u5b9e\u8d28\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u516d\u3001\u5c40\u9650\u6027<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6587\u957f\u5ea6\u5fc5\u987b\u662fpatch size\uff0832\uff09\u7684\u500d\u6570\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u4f1a\u51fa\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u4e0d\u652f\u6301\u9762\u677f\u6570\u636e\u534f\u53d8\u91cf\uff08covariate-informed\uff09\u3002\u80fd\u7528\u5168\u5c40\u534f\u53d8\u91cf\uff08\u5982\u65e5\u5386\u7279\u5f81\u3001\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6307\u6807\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u80fd\u7528\u5b9e\u4f53\u7279\u5b9a\u534f\u53d8\u91cf\uff08\u5982\u7279\u5b9a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8282\u5047\u65e5\u3001\u7279\u5b9a\u95e8\u5e97\u7684\u4fc3\u9500\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u901a\u9053\u6df7\u5408\u5047\u8bbe\u6bcf\u4e2a\u534f\u53d8\u91cf\u5728\u6240\u6709\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u4e2d\u542b\u4e49\u76f8\u540c\u3002\u5982\u679c\u7981\u7528\u5168\u5c40\u6df7\u5408\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u9762\u677f\u7528\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u534f\u53d8\u91cf\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9650\u5236\u53ef\u4ee5\u7ed5\u8fc7\uff0c\u4f46\u6027\u80fd\u4f1a\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5f00\u6e90\u7248\u672c\u4e0d\u652f\u6301\u5fae\u8c03\uff0c\u4f46\u8bba\u6587\u6697\u793a\u53ef\u4ee5\u3002\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u52a0\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u79d2\u7ea7\u9891\u7387\u4e0a\u4e0d\u5982AutoTheta\uff0c\u7ed3\u675f\u4e86\u6700\u8fd1\u65b0TSFM\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7c92\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6301\u7eed\u8d85\u8d8aAutoTheta\u7684\u8bb0\u5f55\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u4e03\u3001\u5bf9\u6211\u7684\u542f\u53d1<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u770b\u5b8cToto-2.0\u7684\u6280\u672f\u7ec6\u8282\uff0c\u6211\u6709\u51e0\u4e2a\u611f\u53d7\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u7684&#8221;scaling law&#8221;\u7ec8\u4e8e\u6709\u4e86\u5b9e\u8bc1\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/strong>\u4e4b\u524d\u5173\u4e8e\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u662f\u5426\u5b58\u5728scaling law\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u4e89\u8bba\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u8bba\u4e92\u76f8\u77db\u76fe\u3002Toto-2.0\u7528u-\u00b5P\u628a\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u8fd9\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u63a7\u5236\u4f4f\u4e86\uff0c\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86&#8221;\u5927\u5c31\u662f\u597d&#8221;\u5728\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u91cc\u4e5f\u6210\u7acb\uff0c\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u4f60\u5f97\u8c03\u5bf9\u4e86\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0cNorMuon\u89e3\u51b3\u7684\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u88ab\u5ffd\u89c6\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/strong>\u4eceMSE\u5207\u5230pinball loss\uff0c\u68af\u5ea6\u7279\u6027\u5b8c\u5168\u53d8\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u5927\u591a\u6570\u4eba\u8fd8\u662f\u65e0\u8111\u7528AdamW\u3002Toto-2.0\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e0d\u5339\u914d\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4ece\u4f18\u5316\u5668\u7684\u89c2\u5bdf\u7c92\u5ea6\u5c42\u9762\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u89e3\u6cd5\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u601d\u8def\u5f88\u6f02\u4eae\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0cCPM\u8ba9\u65f6\u5e8f\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u63a8\u7406\u4f53\u9a8c\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u8d28\u53d8\u3002<\/strong>\u4ece16\u6b21\u4e32\u884c\u52301\u6b21\u5e76\u884c\uff0c\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u901f\u5ea6\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u8fd8\u6d88\u9664\u4e86\u8bef\u5dee\u7d2f\u79ef\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u505a\u5b9e\u76d8\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u4eba\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u63a8\u7406\u5ef6\u8fdf\u7684\u6539\u5584\u76f4\u63a5\u610f\u5473\u7740\u80fd\u7528\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u7b2c\u56db\uff0c\u4e0d\u5f00\u6e90\u7684\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u53cd\u800c\u662f\u4e2a\u4f18\u52bf\u3002<\/strong>Datadog\u7528\u81ea\u5bb6\u7684\u89c2\u6d4b\u6570\u636e+\u5408\u6210\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e0d\u78b0\u516c\u5f00\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u8ba9\u57fa\u5ea7\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u516c\u5f00\u8bc4\u6d4b\u4e0a\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u66f4\u6709\u8bf4\u670d\u529b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7b56\u7565\u503c\u5f97\u5176\u4ed6\u505a\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u53c2\u8003\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u5b9e\u64cd\u5efa\u8bae<\/strong>\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u505a\u7684\u662f\u89c2\u6d4b\u6307\u6807\u9884\u6d4b\uff08\u670d\u52a1\u5668\u76d1\u63a7\u3001IoT\u4f20\u611f\u5668\u7b49\uff09\uff0cToto-2.0\u7684BOOM\u8868\u73b0\u8bf4\u660e\u5b83\u975e\u5e38\u9002\u5408\u3002\u5982\u679c\u662f\u91d1\u878d\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\uff0cGIFT-Eval\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5b50\u96c6\u4e0aToto-2.0\u4e5f\u6392\u540d\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u4f46\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\u5b83\u6ca1\u89c1\u8fc7\u91d1\u878d\u9886\u57df\u516c\u5f00\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u96f6\u6837\u672c\u8868\u73b0\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u5fae\u8c03\u6765\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u516b\u3001\u600e\u4e48\u7528\u8d77\u6765<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Toto-2.0\u5df2\u7ecf\u53d1\u5e03\u5230PyPI\uff0c\u5b89\u88c5\u5f88\u7b80\u5355\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-code\"><code>pip install toto-models<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">GitHub\u4ed3\u5e93\u5730\u5740\uff1agithub.com\/DataDog\/toto<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">5\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u5efa\u8bae\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u573a\u666f<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u63a8\u8350\u89c4\u6a21<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u7406\u7531<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u8fb9\u7f18\u90e8\u7f72\/\u5d4c\u5165\u5f0f<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">4M<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u53c2\u6570\u91cf\u6781\u5c0f\uff0c\u548cChronos-2\u6709\u7ade\u4e89\u529b<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u5feb\u901f\u539f\u578b\u9a8c\u8bc1<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">22M<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u6bd4Toto-1\u597d8\u5206\uff0c\u53c2\u6570\u5c117\u500d<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u751f\u4ea7\u73af\u5883\u5e73\u8861\u9009\u62e9<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">313M<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">GIFT-Eval\u524d\u4e09\uff0c\u5ef6\u8fdf\u548cChronos-2\u6301\u5e73<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u9ad8\u7cbe\u5ea6\u9700\u6c42<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">1B<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u957fhorizon\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c8192\u6b65\u4ecd\u7ef4\u6301\u6a21\u5f0f<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u6700\u9ad8\u7cbe\u5ea6\/\u6709\u7b97\u529b<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">2.5B<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">\u5168\u9762\u6700\u4f18\uff0c\u957fhorizon\u6700\u51c6<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u505a\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u4eba\u7b49\u8fd9\u4e00\u5929\u7b49\u633a\u4e45\u4e86\u3002\u4e4b\u524d\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u65f6\u5e8f\u9886\u57df\u4e00\u76f4\u662f&#8221;\u5927\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u597d&#8221;\uff0c\u73b0\u5728Toto-2.0\u7ec8\u4e8e\u628a\u8fd9\u6761\u66f2\u7ebf\u62c9\u76f4\u4e86\u3002\u5b83\u4e0d\u662f\u67d0\u4e2a\u5355\u4e00\u6280\u672f\u7684\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u56db\u4e2a\u8bbe\u8ba1\u9009\u62e9\u4e92\u76f8\u54ac\u5408\uff1aCPM\u89e3\u51b3\u63a8\u7406\u6548\u7387\u3001Arcsinh\u89e3\u51b3\u6570\u636e\u5f52\u4e00\u5316\u3001NorMuon\u89e3\u51b3\u4f18\u5316\u5668\u4e0d\u5339\u914d\u3001u-\u00b5P\u89e3\u51b3\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u7f29\u653e\u3002\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u90fd\u5728\u89e3\u51b3\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b9e\u9645\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u7ec4\u5408\u8d77\u6765\u5c31\u662f\u628a\u9501\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5bf9\u4e8e\u505a\u91cf\u5316\u7684\u670b\u53cb\uff0c\u6211\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\u662f\u5148\u62ff313M\u5728\u4f60\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e0a\u8dd1\u8dd1\u770b\u96f6\u6837\u672c\u6548\u679c\u3002\u5982\u679c\u89c2\u6d4b\u7c7b\u6307\u6807\u591a\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u7387\u4f1a\u6709\u60ca\u559c\u3002\u5982\u679c\u662f\u91d1\u878d\u4ef7\u683c\u5e8f\u5217\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u5fae\u8c03\uff0c\u4f46\u57fa\u5ea7\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u63d0\u53d6\u80fd\u529b\u5df2\u7ecf\u6446\u5728\u90a3\u91cc\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a>#\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u9884\u6d4b<\/a>&nbsp;<a>#Toto2<\/a>&nbsp;<a>#\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b<\/a>&nbsp;<a>#Datadog<\/a>&nbsp;<a>#\u96f6\u6837\u672c\u9884\u6d4b<\/a>&nbsp;<a>#\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60<\/a>&nbsp;<a>#AI\u5f00\u6e90<\/a>&nbsp;<a>#\u91cf\u5316\u9884\u6d4b<\/a>&nbsp;<a>#NorMuon<\/a>&nbsp;<a>#CPM<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a\u8001\u4f59\u635e\u9c7c \u539f\u521b\u4e0d\u6613\uff0c\u8f6c\u8f7d\u8bf7\u6807\u660e\u51fa\u5904\u53ca\u539f\u4f5c\u8005\u3002&#8230;<\/p>\n<div class=\"more-link-wrapper\"><a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/2026\/07\/20\/toto-2-0%e5%ae%9e%e6%b5%8b%ef%bc%9a%e4%bb%8e4m%e5%88%b02-5b%e5%8f%82%e6%95%b0%ef%bc%8c%e6%97%b6%e5%ba%8f%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%e9%a6%96%e6%ac%a1%e5%ae%9e%e7%8e%b0llm%e5%bc%8f%e7%bc%a9%e6%94%be\/\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Toto-2.0\u5b9e\u6d4b\uff1a\u4ece4M\u52302.5B\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u9996\u6b21\u5b9e\u73b0LLM\u5f0f\u7f29\u653e<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[17,4,5,6,7],"class_list":["post-4496","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-aiinvest","tag-ai","tag-6","tag-7","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4496","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4496"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4496\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4511,"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4496\/revisions\/4511"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4496"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4496"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4496"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}