{"id":2173,"date":"2025-04-20T07:52:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-19T23:52:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.laoyulaoyu.top\/?p=2173"},"modified":"2025-04-02T23:53:45","modified_gmt":"2025-04-02T15:53:45","slug":"%e5%91%8a%e5%88%ab%e9%87%91%e5%8f%89%e6%ad%bb%e5%8f%89%ef%bc%81%e8%bf%99%e6%89%8d%e6%98%af%e6%9c%ba%e6%9e%84%e7%9c%9f%e6%ad%a3%e5%9c%a8%e7%94%a8%e7%9a%84%e8%b6%8b%e5%8a%bf%e8%b7%9f%e8%b8%aa%e6%b3%95","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/2025\/04\/20\/%e5%91%8a%e5%88%ab%e9%87%91%e5%8f%89%e6%ad%bb%e5%8f%89%ef%bc%81%e8%bf%99%e6%89%8d%e6%98%af%e6%9c%ba%e6%9e%84%e7%9c%9f%e6%ad%a3%e5%9c%a8%e7%94%a8%e7%9a%84%e8%b6%8b%e5%8a%bf%e8%b7%9f%e8%b8%aa%e6%b3%95\/","title":{"rendered":"\u544a\u522b\u91d1\u53c9\u6b7b\u53c9\uff01\u8fd9\u624d\u662f\u673a\u6784\u771f\u6b63\u5728\u7528\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u8ddf\u8e2a\u6cd5\uff0c\u5c0f\u767d\u4e5f\u80fd\u7528"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a\u8001\u4f59\u635e\u9c7c<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u539f\u521b\u4e0d\u6613\uff0c\u8f6c\u8f7d\u8bf7\u6807\u660e\u51fa\u5904\u53ca\u539f\u4f5c\u8005\u3002<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\n
\u5199\u5728\u524d\u9762\u7684\u8bdd\uff1a<\/strong>\u5927\u5bb6\u597d\uff0c\u4eca\u5929\u6211\u8981\u5206\u4eab\u4e00\u4e2a\u8d85\u7ea7\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u8ddf\u8e2a\u7b56\u7565\u2014\u2014\u201c\u5747\u7ebf\u659c\u7387\u6cd5\u201d\u3002\u5b83\u4e0d\u7528\u590d\u6742\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u7528\u76ef\u76d8\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u770b\u4e00\u6761\u7ebf\u7684\u4e0a\u4e0b\u53d8\u5316\u5c31\u80fd\u5224\u65ad\u4e70\u5165\u5356\u51fa\u7684\u65f6\u673a\u3002<\/mark>\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u4e5f\u60f3\u6446\u8131\u5047\u4fe1\u53f7\u7684\u56f0\u6270\uff0c\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u770b\u5b8c\uff01<\/pre>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n
\u4e00\u3001\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u201c\u5747\u7ebf\u659c\u7387\u6cd5\u201d\uff1f<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

1.1 \u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4f20\u7edf\u5747\u7ebf\u7b56\u7565\u8ba9\u4eba\u5934\u75bc\uff1f<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u5747\u7ebf\u662f\u5f88\u591a\u80a1\u6c11\u7684\u201c\u8001\u670b\u53cb\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u7684\u7f3a\u70b9\u4e5f\u5f88\u660e\u663e\uff1a\u6ede\u540e\u6027\u5f3a\uff0c\u5047\u4fe1\u53f7\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u4f60\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u4e5f\u9047\u5230\u8fc7\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • \u65e9\u76d8\u770b\u5230”\u91d1\u53c9”\u8d76\u7d27\u6ee1\u4ed3\uff1b<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • \u4e0b\u5348\u5927\u76d8\u8df3\u6c34\u76f4\u63a5\u5957\u7262\uff1b<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • \u7b2c\u4e8c\u5929\u5272\u8089\u540e\u80a1\u4ef7\u53c8\u98de\u4e86\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
    \u91cf\u5316\u56e2\u961f\u66fe\u7ecf\u752810\u5e74\u6570\u636e\u505a\u4e86\u4e2a\u7edf\u8ba1\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n
    \u7b56\u7565<\/th>\u6b63\u786e\u7387<\/th>\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u76ca<\/th>\u6700\u5927\u4e8f\u635f<\/th>\u6301\u4ed3\u65f6\u95f4<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
    \u4f20\u7edf\u91d1\u53c9<\/td>46%<\/td>8%<\/td>-35%<\/td>2\u5468<\/td><\/tr>
    \u659c\u7387\u6218\u6cd5<\/td>72%<\/td>25%<\/td>-18%<\/td>3\u4e2a\u6708<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6000\u7591\uff1a\u96be\u9053\u5747\u7ebf\u771f\u7684\u6ca1\u7528\u5417\uff1f\u5176\u5b9e\u95ee\u9898\u4e0d\u5728\u5747\u7ebf\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e8e\u6211\u4eec\u7528\u9519\u4e86\u65b9\u6cd5\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n
    1.2 \u5747\u7ebf\u659c\u7387\u6218\u6cd5\u6838\u5fc3\u539f\u7406<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
    \u4e0b\u9762\u6211\u5c31\u7ed9\u5927\u5bb6\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e00\u4e2a\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u601d\u8def\u2014\u2014\u201c\u5747\u7ebf\u659c\u7387\u6cd5\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
    \u7b80\u5355\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u4e0d\u518d\u76ef\u7740\u4ef7\u683c\u548c\u5747\u7ebf\u7684\u4ea4\u53c9\u70b9\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u76f4\u63a5\u89c2\u5bdf\u5747\u7ebf\u672c\u8eab\u7684\u503e\u659c\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
    \u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a\u80a1\u5e02\u60f3\u8c61\u6210\u767b\u5c71\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    1. \ud83d\udfe1 \u5747\u7ebf”\u5e73\u5730”\uff08\u659c\u7387\u22480\uff09\uff1a\u559d\u8336\u770b\u620f\uff08\u89c2\u671b\uff09<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    2. \ud83d\udd34 \u5747\u7ebf”\u4e0a\u5761”\uff08\u659c\u7387>0\uff09\uff1a\u5750\u7740\u8f7f\u5b50\u5f80\u4e0a\u8d70\uff08\u4e70\u5165\uff09<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    3. \ud83d\udfe2 \u5747\u7ebf”\u4e0b\u5761”\uff08\u659c\u7387<0\uff09\uff1a\u8d76\u7d27\u8df3\u8f66\u4fdd\u547d\uff08\u5356\u51fa\uff09<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n
      \u8fd9\u91cc\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u601d\u60f3\u662f\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u8ba1\u7b97\u5747\u7ebf\u7684\u201c\u5761\u5ea6\u201d\uff0c\u6765\u5224\u65ad\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u5f3a\u5ea6\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u6b65\u9aa4\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n
      \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u597d\u5904\u662f\uff0c\u5b83\u4e0d\u4ec5\u80fd\u63d0\u524d\u53d1\u73b0\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u8fd8\u80fd\u907f\u514d\u88ab\u77ed\u671f\u6ce2\u52a8\u8bef\u5bfc\u3002\u5c31\u50cf\u767b\u5c71\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u4f60\u77e5\u9053\u524d\u65b9\u662f\u4e0a\u5761\u8fd8\u662f\u4e0b\u5761\uff0c\u5fc3\u91cc\u81ea\u7136\u6709\u5e95\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
      \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \u800c\u5747\u7ebf\u659c\u7387\u6cd5\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u5728\u4e8e\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n
        \n
      • \u524d\u77bb\u6027<\/strong>\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u5173\u6ce8\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf\u7684\u659c\u7387\uff0c\u8be5\u7b56\u7565\u80fd\u591f\u63d0\u524d\u6355\u6349\u5230\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u6ede\u540e\u6027\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • \u51cf\u5c11\u865a\u5047\u4fe1\u53f7<\/strong>\uff1a\u659c\u7387\u8ba1\u7b97\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u8fc7\u6ee4\u6389\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u865a\u5047\u4fe1\u53f7\u7684\u4ea7\u751f\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • \u63d0\u4f9b\u8d8b\u52bf\u5f3a\u5ea6\u4fe1\u606f<\/strong>\uff1a\u659c\u7387\u7684\u5927\u5c0f\u53ef\u4ee5\u76f4\u63a5\u53cd\u6620\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u5f3a\u5ea6\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u8bc4\u4f30\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u548c\u6f5c\u5728\u6536\u76ca\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
        \u4e8c\u3001\u771f\u5b9e\u6848\u4f8b\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
        \u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5206\u522b\u7528\u7f8e\u80a1\u548cA\u80a1\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\u6765\u8fdb\u884c\u8bf4\u660e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
        2.1 \u7f8e\u80a1\u6848\u4f8b<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
        \u6211\u4eec\u4ee5\u8c37\u6b4c\u80a1\u7968\uff08GOOG\uff09\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u75282010\u5e74\u52302025\u5e74\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u56de\u6d4b\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u201c\u5747\u7ebf\u659c\u7387\u6cd5\u201d\u80fd\u591f\u505a\u5230\u4ee5\u4e0b\u51e0\u70b9\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n
          \n
        1. \u63d0\u524d\u6293\u4f4f\u4e3b\u8981\u4e0a\u6da8\u884c\u60c5\uff1b<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        2. \u5728\u4e0b\u8dcc\u524d\u53ca\u65f6\u79bb\u573a\uff1b<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        3. \u660e\u663e\u51cf\u5c11\u5047\u4fe1\u53f7\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n
          \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
          \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
          \u4ece\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u56fe\u8868\u4e2d\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\uff0c\u7ea2\u8272\u7bad\u5934\u8868\u793a\u4e70\u5165\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u7eff\u8272\u7bad\u5934\u8868\u793a\u5356\u51fa\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u5747\u7ebf\u659c\u7387\u6cd5\u80fd\u591f\u6709\u6548\u5730\u6355\u6349\u5230\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u63d0\u4f9b\u53ca\u65f6\u7684\u4e70\u5356\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
          \u6574\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u6e05\u6670\u660e\u4e86\uff0c\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u590d\u6742\u7684\u6280\u672f\u6307\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
          2.2 A\u80a1\u6848\u4f8b<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
          \u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u201c\u5747\u7ebf\u659c\u7387\u6cd5\u201d\u57282024\u5e74\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\u7684\u91cf\u5316\u5b9e\u6218\u4e2d\u90e8\u5206\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u9a8c\u8bc1\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
          \u6848\u4f8b1\uff1a\u5b81\u5fb7\u65f6\u4ee3\uff08300750\uff09\u64cd\u4f5c\u5b9e\u5f55<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
           \ud83d\udd34 \u4e70\u5165\u4fe1\u53f7\uff1a2024\u5e741\u670816\u65e5\uff08\u659c\u7387\u8f6c\u6b63\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c156.8\u5143\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n
          \ud83d\udfe2\u5356\u51fa\u4fe1\u53f7\uff1a2024\u5e744\u67088\u65e5\uff08\u659c\u7387\u8f6c\u8d1f\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c210.4\u5143\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n
          \ud83d\udcc8 \u533a\u95f4\u6da8\u5e45\uff1a+34.2%\uff08\u540c\u671f\u6caa\u6df1300\u4ec5+5.3%\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n
          \u6848\u4f8b2\uff1a\u4e2d\u9645\u65ed\u521b\uff08300308\uff09CPO\u9f99\u5934<\/strong> \u5173\u952e\u8282\u70b9<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
          \u65e5\u671f<\/th>\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/th>\u659c\u7387\u503c<\/th>\u4ef7\u683c<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
          2024\/2\/6<\/td>\u659c\u7387\u9996\u6b21\u8f6c\u6b63<\/td>+0.12<\/td>68.5\u5143<\/td><\/tr>
          2024\/3\/22<\/td>\u659c\u7387\u89c1\u9876\uff08+1.05\uff09<\/td>–<\/td>98.6\u5143<\/td><\/tr>
          2024\/4\/15<\/td>\u659c\u7387\u8f6c\u8d1f\u9884\u8b66<\/td>-0.08<\/td>85.2\u5143<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
          \u4e09\u3001\u5b9e\u6218\u4ee3\u7801\u89e3\u6790<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
          \u4e3a\u4e86\u8ba9\u5927\u5bb6\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u6211\u7279\u610f\u6574\u7406\u4e86\u4e00\u4efdPython\u4ee3\u7801\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u4f60\u5feb\u901f\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
          3.1 \u6838\u5fc3\u4ee3\u7801<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
          \u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u4ee3\u7801\u7684\u5173\u952e\u90e8\u5206\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n
          def \u8ba1\u7b97\u5747\u7ebf\u659c\u7387(\u6570\u636e, \u7a97\u53e3=200):\n    def \u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u659c\u7387(y):\n        x = np.arange(len(y))  # \u65f6\u95f4\u8f74\n        \u659c\u7387, _, _, _, _ = stats.linregress(x, y)  # \u8ba1\u7b97\u659c\u7387\n        return \u659c\u7387\n    \n    return \u6570\u636e.rolling(window=\u7a97\u53e3).apply(\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u659c\u7387)<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\n
          \u8fd9\u6bb5\u4ee3\u7801\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u662f\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n