{"id":1456,"date":"2024-09-28T07:41:00","date_gmt":"2024-09-27T23:41:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.laoyulaoyu.top\/?p=1456"},"modified":"2024-09-10T19:49:41","modified_gmt":"2024-09-10T11:49:41","slug":"%e8%bd%af%e4%bb%b6-%e5%a4%a7%e5%92%96-%e8%ae%a4%e4%b8%ba%e4%ba%ba%e5%b7%a5%e6%99%ba%e8%83%bd%e5%b0%86%e9%9d%a9%e6%96%b0%e9%87%91%e8%9e%8d%e4%b8%9a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/laoyulaoyu.com\/index.php\/2024\/09\/28\/%e8%bd%af%e4%bb%b6-%e5%a4%a7%e5%92%96-%e8%ae%a4%e4%b8%ba%e4%ba%ba%e5%b7%a5%e6%99%ba%e8%83%bd%e5%b0%86%e9%9d%a9%e6%96%b0%e9%87%91%e8%9e%8d%e4%b8%9a\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8f6f\u4ef6 \u201c\u5927\u5496\u201d \u8ba4\u4e3a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5c06\u9769\u65b0\u91d1\u878d\u4e1a"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.laoyulaoyu.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u8001\u4f59\u635e\u9c7c<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-cyan-bluish-gray-color\">\u539f\u521b\u4e0d\u6613\uff0c\u8f6c\u8f7d\u8bf7\u6807\u660e\u51fa\u5904\u53ca\u539f\u4f5c\u8005\u3002<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-70.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1881\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\"><strong>\u5199\u5728\u524d\u9762\u7684\u8bdd\uff1a<\/strong>\u672c\u6587\u8bd1\u8f6c\u81ea\u5965\u65af\u6c40\u00b7\u65af\u5854\u514b\u65af\uff08Austin Starks\uff09\u53d1\u8868\u4e8e\u201cDataDrivenInvestor<strong>\u201d<\/strong>\u6742\u5fd7\u4e0a\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u540d\u4e3a\u300aAs a SWE well-versed in AI, I\u2019ve seen how it will disrupt finance. It\u2019s kinda scary.\u300b\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u4e3b\u8981\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e86<mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u540d\u7cbe\u901a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u8f6f\u4ef6\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e08\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5728\u7b97\u6cd5\u4ea4\u6613\u9886\u57df\u7684\u5e94\u7528\u53ca\u5176\u6f5c\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u89c1\u89e3<\/mark>\uff0c\u5e76\u8be6\u7ec6\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u5229\u7528NexusTrade.io\u5e73\u53f0\u521b\u5efa\u548c\u4f18\u5316\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u901a\u8fc7\u590d\u5236\u4ea4\u6613\uff08Copy Trading\uff09\u8ba9\u666e\u901a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u80fd\u591f\u8ddf\u968f\u4e13\u5bb6\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/pre>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"1009\">\u5f53\u6211\u770b\u5230\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5927\u5b66\u5b66\u751f\u64b0\u5199\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/bfi.uchicago.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/BFI_WP_2024-65.pdf\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>\u4f7f\u7528\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u8d22\u52a1\u62a5\u8868\u5206\u6790\u300b<\/strong><\/a><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>\u7684\u8349\u7a3f\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u611f\u5230\u5f88\u6b23\u6170\u3002\u8fd9\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u8ba8\u8bba\u6211\u4e00\u5e74\u591a\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u5ba3\u626c\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u81ea\u4ece\u6211\u5f00\u59cb\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u9886\u57df\u8bd5\u9a8c\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u4ee5\u6765\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u5bf9\u91d1\u878d\u6709\u7528\u3002\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u98ce\u683c\u7684\u4f18\u5316\u7b97\u6cd5\u9996\u6b21\u5411\u6563\u6237\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5f00\u653e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"2919\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e00\u5f20\u56fe\u7247\u80dc\u8fc7\u5343\u8a00\u4e07\u8bed\uff0c\u5ba1\u8ba1\u8ddf\u8e2a\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u8fdc\u4e0d\u6b62\u5411\u60a8\u5c55\u793a\u6a21\u62df\u56fe\u7247\uff08\u4e5f\u79f0\u4e3a\u56de\u6d4b\uff09\u3002\u5728\u672c\u7cfb\u5217\u7684\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u5c06\u9996\u6b21\u90e8\u7f72\u6211\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u5e76\u8ba9\u516c\u4f17\u5b9e\u65f6\u67e5\u770b\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\uff08\u53ca\u5176\u53d8\u5316\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"f66f\">\u5728\u672c\u6587\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u5c06\u8be6\u7ec6\u4ecb\u7ecd\u5982\u4f55\u521b\u5efa\u7b97\u6cd5\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u5176sortino ratio\uff08\u7d22\u63d0\u8bfa\u6bd4\u7387\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u7528\u4e8e\u8861\u91cf\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u76f8\u5bf9\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u5728\u8bc4\u4f30\u5bf9\u51b2\u57fa\u91d1\u6216\u79c1\u52df\u57fa\u91d1\u65f6\u66f4\u4e3a\u5e38\u7528\uff09<strong>\u4e3a 2.6<\/strong>\uff0c\u4ec5\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86 3 \u7b14\u4ea4\u6613\u3002\u6211\u5c06\u89e3\u91ca\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4ec0\u4e48\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u521b\u5efa\u6b64\u7c7b\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bea2\"><strong>\u4e00\u3001\u521b\u5efa\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u7ec4\u5408<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"eeb9\"><strong>\u4ece\u57fa\u7840\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u5f00\u59cb<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"0e2a\">\u4f5c\u4e3a\u57fa\u672c\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u6211\u5c06\u7814\u7a76\u201c\u4e70\u5165\u5e76\u6301\u6709\u201d\u3002\u6295\u8d44 VOO \u5e76\u91c7\u7528\u7f8e\u5143\u6210\u672c\u5e73\u5747\u6cd5\u5386\u6765\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u6807\u51c6\uff1b\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u65e0\u6cd5\u8d85\u8d8a VOO\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u60a8\u5c31\u662f\u5728\u6d6a\u8d39\u65f6\u95f4\uff08\u548c\u7cbe\u529b\uff09\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-69.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1880\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"e760\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c<strong>\u5c31\u6211\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u627f\u53d7\u80fd\u529b\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6211\u53ef\u4ee5\u5fcd\u53d7\uff08\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u66f4\u559c\u6b22\uff09\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027<\/strong>\u3002\u867d\u7136 5 \u5e74\u5185\u8d5a 90% \u5ba2\u89c2\u4e0a\u662f\u4e00\u9879\u4e86\u4e0d\u8d77\u7684\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u5e0c\u671b\u8d5a\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"7e4d\">\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c06\u6760\u6746\u89c6\u4e3a\u98ce\u9669\u56de\u62a5\u653e\u5927\u5668\u3002\u867d\u7136\u80a1\u7968\u4e0a\u6da8\u65f6\u5b83\u786e\u5b9e\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u4f60\u7684\u6536\u76ca\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u4f1a\u653e\u5927\u4f60\u7684\u635f\u5931\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6760\u6746\u5e76\u4e0d\u9002\u5408\u6240\u6709\u6295\u8d44\u8005\uff0c\u8d2d\u4e70\u6760\u6746\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u5e94\u6781\u5176\u8c28\u614e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"e161\">\u4e00\u79cd\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u6760\u6746ETF\u662f<a href=\"https:\/\/nexustrade.io\/stock\/TQQQ\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">TQQQ<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-70.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1881\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"1fac\">\u5728\u6211\u5f00\u59cb\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u8ba9\u6211\u5148\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e00\u4e9b\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u8d22\u52a1\u5206\u6790\u6307\u6807\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u53d8\u5316\uff1a<\/strong>\u8fd9\u662f\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4ece\u5f00\u59cb\u5230\u7ed3\u675f\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u3002\u8ba1\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e3a (last_value \u2014 first_value) \/ first_value * 100%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u590f\u666e\u6bd4\u7387\uff1a<\/strong>\u8fd9\u662f\u98ce\u9669\u8c03\u6574\u540e\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u8861\u91cf\u6307\u6807\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4ec5\u4ec5\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8be5\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u5927\u5927\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u590f\u666e\u6bd4\u7387\u901a\u8fc7\u98ce\u9669\u8fdb\u884c\u6807\u51c6\u5316\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u8f83\u5c0f\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u5f97\u5206\u8f83\u9ad8\u3002\u5b83\u901a\u8fc7 mean_excess_return \/ standard_deviation_excess_return \u8ba1\u7b97\u5f97\u51fa<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u7d22\u63d0\u8bfa\u6bd4\u7387<\/strong>\uff1a\u5bf9\u590f\u666e\u6bd4\u7387\u7684\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u4ec5\u60e9\u7f5a\u8d1f\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u3002\u5b83\u901a\u8fc7 mean_excess_return \/ standard_deviation_negative_excess_return \u8ba1\u7b97\u5f97\u51fa<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u6700\u5927\u56de\u64a4<\/strong>\uff1a\u8fd9\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u98ce\u9669\u8861\u91cf\u6307\u6807\u3002\u5b83\u8868\u660e\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u5728\u90e8\u7f72\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e86\u591a\u5c11\u3002\u5b83\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e3a\u4ece\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u6700\u9ad8\u70b9\u5230\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u6700\u4f4e\u70b9\u7684\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u53d8\u5316<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"741a\">\u73b0\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u56de\u8fc7\u5934\u6765\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-71-625x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1882\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"5146\">\u5982\u60a8\u6240\u89c1\uff0cTQQQ \u7684\u56de\u62a5\u7387\u7ea6\u4e3a SPY \u7684 4 \u5230 5 \u500d\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5b83\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u8981\u5927\u5f97\u591a\u3002\u4e0d\u4ec5\u6700\u5927\u56de\u64a4\u662f SPY \u7b56\u7565\u7684\u4e24\u500d\u591a\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4e24\u8005\u7684\u590f\u666e\u6bd4\u7387\u4e5f\u51e0\u4e4e\u76f8\u540c\uff080.56 vs 0.51\uff09\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u56de\u62a5\u7387\u8981\u9ad8\u5f97\u591a\uff0c\u4f46\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5b83\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"4b62\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u5148\u89c1\u4e4b\u660e\uff0c\u5728\u6700\u9ad8\u70b9\u5356\u51fa\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4ef7\u503c\u8d70\u9ad8\u65f6\u4e0d\u90a3\u4e48\u79ef\u6781\u5730\u4e70\u5165\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u4f1a\u8d5a<strong>\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u94b1<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"0878\">\u4e0d\u5e78\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4ec5\u4f7f\u7528\u539f\u59cb\u4ef7\u683c\u6570\u636e\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u662f\u6781\u5176\u56f0\u96be\u7684\uff08\u751a\u81f3\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"b7ea\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u6700\u4f73\u9009\u62e9\u662f<strong>\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406<\/strong>\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u662f\u8d2d\u4e70 TQQQ \u5e76\u5e0c\u671b\u5b83\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u8d2d\u4e70\u66f4\u591a\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6210\u672c\u3002\u4e00\u65e6\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u5f00\u59cb\u76c8\u5229\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u51fa\u552e\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5934\u5bf8\u5e76\u5f15\u5165\u9650\u5236\u4ee5\u51cf\u5c11\u8d2d\u4e70\u79ef\u6781\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-74.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1885\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"c6f2\">\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u597d\u591a\u4e86\uff01\u6700\u5927\u56de\u64a4\u5927\u5e45\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u590f\u666e\u6bd4\u7387\u4e5f\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u867d\u7136\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u53d8\u5316\u7387\u7565\u4f4e\uff085 \u5e74\u5185\u4e3a 300%\uff0c\u800c 5 \u5e74\u5185\u4e3a 400%\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u98ce\u9669\u72b6\u51b5\u4e5f\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"0085\">\u901a\u8fc7\u5411\u4e0b\u6eda\u52a8\u94fe\u63a5\uff0c\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u6b64\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u4ea4\u6613\u89c4\u5219\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.laoyulaoyu.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-73.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1884\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p 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